Lewis Hamilton hasn't done much for his media reputation this weekend, but he hasn't exactly made life easy for himself on the track either.
He was beaten by his teammate Nico Rosberg in every practice session - Rosberg topped them all, while Hamilton actually ended up as low as seventh in the final practice. When it came to qualifying Hamilton's pace was up there with Rosberg, but he couldn't deal the final blow and has qualified second on the grid after the German put in a truly excellent lap to pip the Brit by less than two hundredths of a second.
That probably won't cause Hamilton much concern, in all honesty. He's won this race from second on the grid the last two years in a row and we have no doubt that he believes he can do it for a third time. This time round the pressure is very much on him, because if he wants to win the title he effectively has to win every single race remaining. Anything less than that and he will likely lose more points to Rosberg than he can make back up.
For all those reasons, Hamilton will be approaching Sunday's race like it matters more than anything has mattered before, and the best place to back him to win is at SkyBet, at a decent 5/4.
That said, Rosberg is definitely in the pound seats here. He may have failed to win from pole the last two years but this season he has found a streak of form - and, indeed, of luck and reliability - that leave him best placed to bring home the championship with five races to go. He's leading the championship by 23 points and if he just holds his nerve he can extend that here. The best place to back him for the win is at BetFred, who are offering Evens.
Finally, if you're looking for longer odds than a Mercedes driver to win - and frankly, who isn't? - then we think Vettel might be one to be on this weekend. He's on form and looked to have buckets of speed in qualifying, and despite a grid penalty dropping him to seventh we think he may well be the best bet for third place given the likelihood of a Mercedes one-two.
The best place to back him to finish on the podium is at Coral, who are offering a relatively tempting 11/4.