Lewis Hamilton needs nothing less than a win this weekend in Austin, or else his chances of winning the 2016 Formula 1 world championship will surely have slipped away. The US Grand Prix has provided exciting racing every year since 2012 when it returned at the Circuit of the Americas, but will that excitement this year end with a Hamilton win?
It's hard to judge as ever, because Hamilton and Rosberg this season are two closely matched racers in equal machinery. Hamilton has a great history at this track, having won three of the four races run in Austin, and he must fancy his chances of a fourth victory this weekend. He was fastest in first practice, and although Rosberg leapfrogged him to be fastest in the second practice we suspect that will only inspire him to go faster.
He's certainly the driver who has the most to lose, and consequently should be the most motivated man in the field on Sunday morning. The best place to back Hamilton to win is at PaddyPower, who are offering a decent 11/10.
We can't deny, though, that Rosberg is the man on form right now. He's bringing a season's worth of confidence into this race, safe in the knowledge that he has the best car in the field and even if he finishes second to his teammate in every remaining race this season he will still be crowned champion at the end of it.
He's already looking strong in Texas this weekend, and it's hard to find a reason to bet against him. The best place to back Nico Rosberg to continue his winning streak and his journey towards the driver's title is at BetFred, at a reasonable 11/8.
Those odds aren't enormously tempting, we'd be the first to admit. If you want longer odds and think that Rosberg might be able to dominate this weekend in the same way as he has dominated many weekends over the course of this season, then you might like to back him for the hattrick of pole position, victory, and the fastest lap. The best place to back that is at SkyBet, who are offering a very tempting 11/2.