This is the first weekend where Nico Rosberg might - just might - be able to claim the 2016 World Driver's Title outright.
It would rely on some more bad luck for Lewis Hamilton, but if Hamilton fails to finish the race and Rosberg takes victory, Rosberg will be fifty one points ahead with two races to go. Even if Hamilton won both of those with Rosberg not scoring, the German would still finish the season one point ahead.
Provided Rosberg keep scoring consistenly high points in the last three races it's going to be almost impossible to separate him from the title that is his in all but name right now. Barring some really awful reliabilty in the final races, he doesn't have much to worry about. We must remember, though, that Hamilton has had really awful reliability at several points this season, and you can't completely rule anything out. Who said this stuff was simple?
Last year's Mexican Grand Prix was the first running on the newly redesigned Circuit Hermanos Rodríguez, and Rosberg definitely had the edge over Hamilton throughout the weekend. This Friday, though, Hamilton looked to have it together in the practice sessions while Rosberg didn't shine quite so brightly - and remember, last year Hamilton was already champion while this year he's still desperately trying to defend his title.
Our feeling is that Hamilton will take pole position on Saturday, and the best place to back that is at BetFred, priced at 4/6.
We think he's also going to fight Rosberg all the way to the chequered flag and take the win too. The best place to back that is at SkyBet, priced at 8/11. Alternatively, you could back him for the Pole/Win double, which is offered by PaddyPower at Evens.
Finally, should anything happen among all that hard racing, who is going to pick up the pieces? Despite a crash at this circuit last year Sebastian Vettel is looking good in the practice sessions, and we think he might be worth picking up. The best place to get him for the win is at 10/1 over at Coral, though we'd probably consider backing that each way for a top two finish.